I just ran the numbers.
The Top 2 vote getters win.
Assume 700K Voters. 40% Vote in the Special Election. 60% are GOP. 40% are Dems. Dems look like 80% will go to Ossof – 90K. If the second place Dem gets 80% then that Dem gets 34K votes.
If the GOP top vote getter gets only 18% that equals 30K votes
So, based on these numbers even if Ossof only gets 30%, or 33K votes, the Dems will win the top two slots.
Can you check my numbers to see if this makes sense.
|Likely to Vote||40%||280000|